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I have a small dataset which has timestamp and temperature values for 6 months(I.e. one temperature value per day). I would like to forecast 2-3 months of temperature. I would like to know, what kind of models would be suitable for such purpose.

I have used LSTM but the forecasts degrades as I go further and the data size is pretty small for LSTM to be trained.

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  • $\begingroup$ for LSTM to work well, you need lots of data. Did you try ARIMA, AR, OR VAR models? $\endgroup$
    – i.n.n.m
    Commented Nov 30, 2017 at 22:11

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You can use reinforcement learning, in instance mbrrl2 package.

As temperature is very stational dependent variable. You should have at least 1 year, better 2 years, to make some predictions.

Other way to solve this, is having a collection of historical temperatures, clustering them, and matching your dataset with the closest cluster.

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