Questions tagged [prediction]

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41 views

Timeseries prediction error measurement. How to deal with diffrent time scales?

I have some time series and a prediction model. Now I would like to measure how good/bad the prediction is for different products. The problem is that for each product the time points (frequency of ...
3
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2answers
60 views

Is ARIMA appropriate for time series prediction involving a mix of explanatory and independent variables?

I have a table with the following columns: Date(Month,Year), Sold_Past_Month, Quantity_Available, Quantity_Shipping_In, Missed_Sales, Quantity_Needed Quantity_Needed is the dependent variable that ...
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0answers
110 views

Why does CV yield lower score?

My training accuracy was better than my test accuracy, hence I thought my model was over-fitted and tried Cross-validation. The model further degraded. Is that my input data need to be sanitised ...
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0answers
136 views

Next events prediction based on previous events

I have data set of sequences of user executed commands sorted in the order of its occurrence. The data looks like this. ...
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0answers
2k views

Kalman filter for time series prediction

I have the information about the behaviour of 400 users across period of 1 months (30 days). Across those 30 days I measure 4 different information (let's call it A,B,C and D), hence I have a total of ...
2
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1answer
23 views

Predicting probability for each tag given already chosen tags

I have a set of tags (~10'000, will be extended over time) presented to a user. After he has selected 3 or more tags, I want to predict for each remaining tag what the chances are that the user will ...
2
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1answer
63 views

Xgboost multiple class predictive performance beats one versus rest

I have an NLP task I'm tackling with xgboost (R implementation). Before describing my doubt I'll give you some background: I have a corpus of documents for which I did topic discovery, using a term ...
2
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1answer
323 views

How to extract the sample split (values) of decision tree leaves ( terminal nodes) applying h2o library

Sorry for a long story, but it is a long story. :) I am using h2o library for python to build a decision tree and to extract a decision rules out of it. I use some data for training where labels get ...
2
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1answer
47 views

what is the interest of TimeDistributed after an LSTM layer?

I've already seen several similair questions but I did not understand anything, what is the interest of TimeDistributed? why we need to insert a TimeDistributed layer after LSTM to establish the time ...
2
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1answer
85 views

How do I use rnn to forecast to n periods with limited data?

So this is my 1st time trying to run a small time-series dataset through an RNN, but after a lot of searching, I haven't been able to find, 1. How I can use this to forecast to n periods ? (like in ...
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0answers
52 views

Prediction questions related to the dataset

I have been self-learning data science from different sources. I have a dataset which was sent to me by my friend from one of her college courses. The work is to be done in R preferably. Description: ...
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2answers
155 views

How to create an ensemble that gives precedence to a specific classifier

Suppose that in a binary classification task, I have separate classifiers A, B, and C. If I ...
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0answers
514 views

NARX Network Multi-Step Forecasting Question

I've been attempting to do multi-step ahead prediction with the NARX (Non-Linear with Exogenous Inputs) Neural Network. As I understand it, this network can be defined mathematically as follow: $y(t+...
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1answer
119 views

XGBOOST : model.predict_proba() and model.predict() conflicting behaviour

I have two classes : 1 and 2 The output of model.predict_proba() -> [0.333,0.6667] The output of model.predict() -> 1 This is happening for around 200 test values out of the test data of 10 lac. ...
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0answers
19 views

Multi-label learning, how to interpret the scores of instances

I am working on a multi-label learning classification problem. When I tune the hyperparameters of the model, the sign of each label (each line on the MLL) remains the same while the scores change. ...
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0answers
29 views

Unable to Print or Save Predicted Results in Orange?

I have applied some models (Logistic, Tree, SVM, Neural Network, etc) in order to predict my results. However, when I printed or saved my predicted results, I was unable to print the Complete ...
1
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1answer
43 views

Combining scaling, dimensionality reduction, prediction using sklearn pipeline

I would like to use a sklearn pipeline doing this : ( - ) scale the data ( StandardScaler ) ( - ) reduce dimensionality ( PCA ) ( - ) make a prediction with GradientBoostingRegressor() and ...
1
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1answer
33 views

How to construct confidence bound for Time Series Prediction?

I have some time series data and am using some Deep Learning techniques to get its prediction. Now, I would like to construct confidence bounds for it. I calculated the residuals, their mean and ...
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0answers
46 views

Keras prediction

I have been editing this stock price prediction program. I am new to python programming. I am trying to print the predicted values for the next 10 days. however it is printing the prediction for the ...
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1answer
20 views

Service Request classification, questionnaire filling and call logging

I am very new to machine learning. I just went through some of the tutorials in Azure and completed one practice workflow(car price prediction). I hope I can ask basic questions here. Scenario : We ...
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1answer
76 views

How to add previous predictions for new predictions in LSTM?

I am trying to train a model on a big data sequence like this [0.2 0.1 0.1 ..... 0.4 0.8] . I create X vectors with length 60 for inputs and Y scaler numbers as ...
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0answers
65 views

How to create a timeline graph ( Date / time series) in MATLAB?

The data file is attached https://ufile.io/ttwi8.How may I create a timeline graph where my y-axis is the number of cases(Demand and prediction as sjown in attached graph) and my x axis is increasing ...
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4answers
131 views

Which type of model to use and what's my target variable

I am a beginner in Data Science field, so sorry if my question is too basic. The task is to build an ad bidding model for online marketing which allows you to deliver targeted ads to the right ...
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0answers
12 views

Structures for incorporating linear functions into a nonlinear optimization problem

I'm working on a problem which naturally involves both linear and nonlinear operations, and I'd like some help understanding the best way to combine these into a neural network framework. To be more ...
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0answers
57 views

Make image label prediction from Chainer CNN model

I have train dataset of 8000 images and labels. Validation set consists of 1957 images and labels. The test set contains 2487 images. Each image contains White Blood Cell images. WBC is divided innto ...
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0answers
15 views

Import the same interval of previous week into the deep model

In a dataset, the data are the average of vehicles speed in the points (cells) of a map. I am trying to build a prediction model. While the inputs are the average of vehicles speed of all points in ...
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0answers
62 views

LSTM data scaling formula based on range

I am planning to run LSTM for a prediction project which has the following input ...
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2answers
632 views

What algorithms are good to predict next numbers?

Let's consider we have several hundreds of numbers like ( 1, 2, 5, 8, 7, 15, 19, 8, 4, 6, ...) those are closed numbers of a stock on consecutive days for example. I like to know what algorithms are ...
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0answers
110 views

Improving population weighting

Bit of a noob in this stats world, so apologies in advance for any naiveté. I did a fair bit of stats long ago in college but it's a distant memory, so please assume little knowledge! The dataset I'...
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0answers
17 views

binary classification for counting - estimating the error on counts due to error on prediction score

Ok, so I have the following set up: I have a binary classification problem and I am classifying events into signal and background. Ultimately, I want to count how many background events and how many ...
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0answers
100 views

How to calculate and print unseen time series values for LSTM after train, valid and test data

My dataset is time series data. It contains data of 10 packages. trainX = (1410,3,15), trainY= (1410,1), testX=(110,3,15), testY=(110,1). Input is three feature vectors of last three months and i am ...
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0answers
29 views

one predictive methods

Is there any algorithm/method/system/application that combine all predictive methods into one? so for users instead of deciding which method they should use, is there any platform that you just feed ...
1
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1answer
38 views

predicition for a specific month

I am attempting to build a predictive model based on the past historical data. I have details of specific machine failure based on the past year data. I have data from some months of 2016 and from ...
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0answers
122 views

Dataset containing spatial and temporal features (built on a CNN model)

A dataset contains spatial and temporal features. It contains the time series data (2 min intervals) of the sections of a map. It is 320*480 (320 map sections and 480-time intervals). Each row ...
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2answers
264 views

Train an LSTM neural network with time series containing seasonal and trend

I am working on a project for predicting the number of DNS queries from the site: DNS queries statistics. The data I use is minutely data, which means the number of DNS queries of every minute. If ...
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0answers
59 views

Naive/ Persistent Models & 7 Day Forecasts

When determining the baseline performance using a persistent or naive model I understand it to be using the value of the previous time step as the prediction for the next time step and then ...
1
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1answer
111 views

Predicting Customer Activity Absence

Could you please assist me with to following question? I have a customer activity dataframe that looks like this: It contains at least 500.000 customers and a "timeseries" of 42 months. The ones and ...
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0answers
74 views

Orange: Predictions widget on same data gives different results

I have built a simple tree predictor and then applied this to a new set of data. This was giving a very different probability distribution so I tested connecting the same training data and comparing ...
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0answers
652 views

Test data predictions yield random results when making predictions from a saved model

I am classifying aerial imagery that is tiled into 256x256 tiles using Keras and TensorFlow. The model splits the training data (i.e. the 256x256 image tiles making up the study area) into 70% ...
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0answers
28 views

Choosing the right prediction method

i have a data set with personal properties (age, education etc.), and each entry in the dataset is associated with a list of websites and daily visit. my goal is to predict for a given person the ...
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0answers
49 views

spatiotemporal prediction using support vector regression

i am using a geographic dataset and i intend to use SVR as machine learning method for predicting spatiotemporal patterns from this dataset. My question is does SVR canensure spatiotemporal ...
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1answer
342 views

Estimating Predictive Uncertainty for unlabeled data

I am trying to estimate the predictive uncertainty for a deep neural network. While I do have a labeled training set, I´m trying to measure uncertainty for some unlabeled production data. This paper ...
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2answers
263 views

Event prediction sequence

I need to create an app to predict events. I'll explain my requirements: I've a set of intermediate events (eg.: 1, 2, 3...9) and a set of final event (eg.: A for OK and B for KO). This events bring ...
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0answers
254 views

Is there a way to find the weights of every feature in spark ml model?

I am using spark ml classifier to create a model to predict whether a user will buy a product or not and I am using features both continuous and categorical. The model is predicting the outcome with ...
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0answers
39 views

Joint distribution of density forecasts

I have a panel data set and I have created a model and finally I have obtained some density forecasts. That is, I run my model for the $y_{it}$ and i obtain predictions for $\hat{y_{i,t+1}}$ , $\hat{...
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1answer
8 views

How to measure/rate the effect of a exogenous covariate in a ARIMAX Model?

I have an ARIMA model, I'm trying to figure out how much an external variable (exogenous covariate) could improve the forecast, so I need to "synthesize" a rate that tell me the usefulness (or impact) ...
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0answers
9 views

Use sequential pattern mining rules to predict next window of a dataset

Suppose that I am performing Sequential Pattern Mining (maxgap = 1, i.e. rules for consecutive windows) and I ran the following code from arulesSequences in R Studio to determine significant rules ...
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0answers
27 views

SRGAN: How to adapt the model to the input image?

I wrote and trained my own SRGAN: so I obtained a generator's model that takes 32x32 images as input and gives their improved 128x128 version as output... However, the end users of my Android app ...
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0answers
8 views

Alarms prediction. Data preparation stage. Am I thinking in the right way?

Intro I have the dataset that contains the next information: Node Name (contains over 300 unique names) Event Date and Time (spotty one-year data) Alarm (3 alarm types) Clearing Time (the date ...
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1answer
16 views

Predicting complete time series for given parameter sets

Im searching for an approach that is able to predict a complete time series for a given parameter set. Imagine a robotic arm which has a starting position and a target position. There is a sensor ...