# Questions tagged [probability]

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13 views

### Calculate marginal probability distributions of a dataset

I have a dataset with 'n' features and a label(binary) corresponding each entry. I am using a predicitive model to predict these labels using those 'n' features. Now, I wish to know the marginal ...
31 views

### Confidence value for face recognition

In the context of face recognition I have the following histogram: blue bins count the comparison distances for "self matches" (comparing two images of the same person). Orange bins count the ...
19 views

### Synthetic time series generation according to some distribution

I'm trying to develop a change detection model that uses sliding windows. Given a time series with some features I've a sliding widows that analyses that time period and compares with a successive ...
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### Difference between Gibbs sampling and variational Bayes inference

After reading in blogs and books, I came to the conclusion that Gibbs sampling and variation Bayes are methods for estimating or inference of posterior. Below link described but it's difficult to ...
61 views

### Re-sampling of a Histograms Bins

I would like to be able to resample a histograms bins without having access tot he raw data. And just to be clear, by resample, I mean to change the number of bins and still provide a good estimate ...
177 views

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### Predict_proba() probabilities distribution [closed]

I’m trying to calculate probability of class 1. I’m using gradients boosting (catboost classifier) Is it normal to have an equal rate of positive classes in every predict_proba() bucket? e.g.: [...
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### Is using cross-entropy enough to ensure the output is a distribution probability?

I am following along https://pytorch.org/tutorials/beginner/finetuning_torchvision_models_tutorial.html. In this code, the last layers of the pretrained networks are linear. The loss used in this ...
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### Adjust predicted probability after smote

i have an imbalance data set and I used smote to oversample the minority class and undersample the majority class. now, I want to check the test AUC using predict_proba of the model. I have two ...
70 views

### Statistical loss function for categorical distributions

For training an autoencoder model whose outputs (and inputs) are parameters from a categorical distribution $[q_1, q_2, \ldots, q_n]$, I have to define a proper loss function measuring the distance ...
23 views

### Why Maximum Likelihood Estimation for normal distribution?

Since we can compute the mean and the standard deviation of a set of random variables, why do we use Maximum Likelihood Estimation to estimate these parameters?
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### Hidden markov model to detect how loaded a die is?

I was wondering if you could make a hidden markov model to decide what the optimal loaded ness of a die is. I know normally you would want to do something like take a prior like I know of two types of ...
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### Learning discrete probability distribution that is parametrized by a set of real-valued parameters

Assume I have a discrete probability distribution defined over binary variables. This probability distribution is parametrized by a set of real-valued parameters, which all are contained in a segment, ...
51 views

### What is the meaning of “probability distribution of p(x)” of something uncountable?

I'm studying VAE and new to both of the neural network and the statistic. After some researches, I could understand the rough concept of VAE. But what makes me confused is, the meaning of probability ...
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### Generating correlated time series with different probability distributions

I have the following problem to solve: I need to generate two time series, each modeling a variable (lets call them VarA and VarB). For each of these variables, I have a PDF (PdfA, PdfB) which belongs ...
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### Tensorflow Probability Example : Gradient Computation Error

I am trying to run example code from tensorflow Probability for Dirichlet Process Mixture Model (https://github.com/tensorflow/probability/blob/master/tensorflow_probability/examples/jupyter_notebooks/...
22 views

### Probabilities of a Poisson distribution not making sense

I am trying to find probabilities of orders a restaurant gets on Sunday's. For last 6 months average orders are 1000 without any big anomalies like 700 or 1300. This is a case of poisson distribution &...
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### How to estimate claims for warranty analytics where continuous improvement reduces warranty claims?

I have a situation where a company who has warranty claims on its product and they want to know that is it possible for them to extend that. Now the case is that they do improvement on the existing ...
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### What's the correct/preferred way of determining the final class from seq2seq softmax probabilities?

Here's an example, between three classes a, b and c and their softmax probabilities from an imagined seq2seq algorithm. In this case it's pretty obvious that class c is the most likely single label ...
43 views

### How can I make ROC and compute AUC?

I created a boosting tree and got the probability for each tuple in my testing set. But I'm confused on how to combine each probability. Can someone tell me how to combine the probabilities?